Market still in Correction, How to Determine a Market Bottom, European bond Yields irrational, Long term trend lower Oil prices, Caterpillar share buy back, Buy backs distort earnings

Episode 14:  Market still in Correction, indexes remain below their 50 day moving average.  Be patient, don’t buy dips yet.

How to Determine a Market Bottom?  Use the Bill O’Neil Investor’s Business Daily (www.investors.com) method.  Wait till at least the 4th day of recovery off a market bottom.  Follow through days that confirm a market’s change in direction generally occur on the 4-7 days following a bottom.

European bond yields irrational.  France @ 1.46%.  Italy @ 2.8%.  German’s stock market down 11% last week.

Long term trend-  lower Oil prices.  Will result in a lower cost for EVERYTHING…this price deflation will help spur the economy.  All commodities will have a lower or stable price, including Gold.  North Dakota’s oil production is about 70% of Iran, without the turmoil and drama…and without the cost of an army or navy to protect it.

Caterpillar will buy back 6.5% of their shares…will give illusion of earnings growth.

Corporate share buy backs in 2014 are averaging about 4%, this is used as balance sheet engineering to mask stagnant growth.  During a recovery and an expanding economy, companies issue stocks (stock splits).  Buy backs are a form of contractions, NOT growth.

 

Subscribe to the Wealthsteading Podcast via iTunes:  https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/wealthsteading-podcast/id896417058

Hosted by John Pugliano. For more information visit us at: www.wealthsteading.com or www.investablewealth.com

Copyright © 2014 Investable Wealth, LLC. All rights reserved. This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering advice or recommendation of any security. This podcast does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice. The content is strictly the observations and opinions of Investable Wealth, LLC. The information in this podcast is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation. Investable Wealth, LLC is an investment advisory firm licensed in the State of Utah.

Article written by