Inverted Yield Curve predicted 9 of last 2 Recessions

Episode 363:  Recessions generally follow an inverted yield curve, but not every inverted yield curve proceeds a recession.

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Why bond funds are losing money

Episode 362:  Contrary to the Wall Street myth, bonds and specifically bond funds are not “safe”.  There are a number of risk factors, and today’s dominant risk is a rising interest rate environment.

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Oil prices causing demand destruction muted by wealth effect

Episode 361:  Consumer demand destruction is likely to be muted because households have significant amounts of wealth in their home and stock portfolio.

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The good times are over for good

Episode 360:  Today on my birthday, join me in a sarcastic cynical reflection of the good old days of an America that’s gone forever.

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What’s the Petrodollar? A myth

Episode 359:  The petrodollar scare tactic is circulating again.  Hide your wife…hide your kids !

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