Episode 241: Will interest rates regress to their mean? Yes, eventually when the Federal Reserve and other central banks end their intervention.
BUT…the important question is: What mean?
The mean of the past 30 years? Or the mean of the previous 90 year bond cycle, where with few exceptions (notably World War I) from 1875-1965 the 10 year Treasury’s yield was in the range of 2-4%.
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